Wall Street’s next AI trade is smaller than a grain of rice: One Big Idea


The AI trade is getting its first real stress test since Wall Street discovered the bottleneck playbook. Chips are sliding, memory is cracking, and investors are already hunting for the next scarce part of the server rack.

Memory chips showed how fast that playbook can work, as poster child Micron (MU) surged nearly 1800% off the April 2025 lows. But the market is already moving on to the next question: What else inside an AI server cannot scale fast enough?

The latest answer is the part of the AI trade that is smaller than a grain of rice.

Multilayer ceramic capacitors, or MLCCs, are tiny components that help smooth voltage, filter electrical noise, and keep chips from glitching when power demand surges. AI servers do not draw power in a calm, steady stream. GPUs and custom chips ramp up, pause, and ramp up again as they process huge calculations.

That makes MLCCs a natural target for Wall Street’s bottleneck hunt.

A late-May Goldman Sachs thesis put capacitors forward as the next potential AI squeeze after memory. Goldman’s work put MLCCs behind only GPUs and memory among the biggest cost items in AI server builds, and estimated the AI-server MLCC market could grow more than fourfold from fiscal 2025 to fiscal 2030.

The scale explains the chase. A single advanced AI server rack can require hundreds of thousands of MLCCs. If every next-generation AI rack needs more of them and suppliers cannot add capacity quickly, a boring component can suddenly become a pricing-power trade.

That is what investors have been chasing.

Selected Asian MLCC and passive-component stocks tied to the AI server supply chain have surged off the March 30 lows. Taiyo Yuden (6976.T), Walsin (2492.TW), Samsung Electro-Mechanics (009150.KS), Yageo (2327.TW), Murata (6981.T), and TDK (6762.T) all rallied hard, with several more than tripling before the latest pullback.

Now comes the harder part.

Several of those names are down more than 20% from 52-week highs, and a few are off more than 30%. That puts them in the same AI hardware unwind hitting chips, memory, and the broader semiconductor complex. However, capacitor stocks are not moving in one clean wave — a sign this is still more an emerging theme than a fully formed basket trade.

The next test is whether the strongest MLCC suppliers can stop falling, rebuild support, and keep seeing pricing power.

Goldman added fuel in early July, with fresh upgrades across the MLCC and capacitor supply chain, including Yageo, Samsung Electro-Mechanics, and LG Innotek. Goldman pointed to AI server demand, rising component content, and tighter supply as drivers of higher earnings estimates.

For US investors, the trade is harder to reach than memory.

The iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) gave investors a simple shortcut when Samsung and SK Hynix became the center of the memory trade.

MLCCs are more scattered. The key companies trade across Japan, Korea, Taiwan, and China. Some have US over-the-counter tickers, including Murata Manufacturing (MRAAY), Taiyo Yuden (TYOYY), TDK (TTDKY), and Yageo (YAGOY). But there is no pure US-listed capacitor ETF.

That leaves investors with a less satisfying but more realistic answer: The MLCC trade can be tracked, but not yet easily owned in pure form.

If the strongest suppliers hold up after the chip sell-off and pricing keeps moving their way, the AI bottleneck trade has not ended.

It has simply moved deeper inside the rack.

Jared Blikre is the global markets and data editor for Yahoo Finance. Follow him on X at @SPYJared or email him at jaredblikre@yahooinc.com.

Click here for in-depth analysis of the latest stock market news and events moving stock prices

Read the latest financial and business news from Yahoo Finance



Source link

  • Related Posts

    U.S. attacks Iran for a second day and Maine Democrats race to replace Graham Platner: Morning Rundown

    In today’s newsletter: The U.S. and Iran trade strikes in new round of attacks. Democrats race to pick a replacement candidate for Graham Platner. And the surprising snubs from this…

    OTC Markets Group Welcomes Doubleview Gold Corp. to OTCQX

    About Doubleview Gold Corp.Doubleview Gold Corp. is mineral resource exploration and development company headquartered in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada. It is publicly traded on the TSX-Venture Exchange (TSXV: DBG), (OTCQB: DBLVF),…

    Leave a Reply

    Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

    You Missed

    WATCH: Hollywood history hits the auction block

    WATCH:  Hollywood history hits the auction block

    Free 2026 World Cup anytime goalscorer picks, odds: Thursday’s best bets include Ousmane Dembele, Brahim Diaz

    Free 2026 World Cup anytime goalscorer picks, odds: Thursday’s best bets include Ousmane Dembele, Brahim Diaz

    Doom devs id Software were reportedly kicking around ideas for a new Perfect Dark, a John Wick-inspired game, and multiplayer demonslaying prior to layoffs

    Doom devs id Software were reportedly kicking around ideas for a new Perfect Dark, a John Wick-inspired game, and multiplayer demonslaying prior to layoffs

    U.S. intensifies strikes on Iran’s coast along Strait of Hormuz

    U.S. intensifies strikes on Iran’s coast along Strait of Hormuz

    U.S. attacks Iran for a second day and Maine Democrats race to replace Graham Platner: Morning Rundown

    U.S. attacks Iran for a second day and Maine Democrats race to replace Graham Platner: Morning Rundown

    Couple sues Ontario surrogate mother who refused to abort fetus