Billionaire investor Bill Ackman is suddenly bullish on OpenAI partner Microsoft


Warren Buffett disciple Bill Ackman has gone fishing for value again, and he’s bringing back a new catch: beaten-up shares of Microsoft (MSFT).

The news: Ackman said in a new X post on Friday morning that his hedge fund Pershing Square (PS) will disclose a new position in Microsoft in a 13F filing later on Friday. He added that Microsoft is “a company we have followed for many years now offered at a highly compelling valuation.”

“We began building our position in MSFT in February following a meaningful share price decline after the company reported its fiscal Q2 2026 results,” Ackman explained. “We were able to establish our position at a valuation of 21 times forward earnings, broadly in line with the market multiple and well below Microsoft’s trading average over the last few years.”

Ackman added that Microsoft’s multiple does not reflect the value of its 27% stake in OpenAI (OPAI.PVT), which he said would be approximately $200 billion, or 7% of Microsoft’s market capitalization.

Bill Ackman, founder and CEO of Pershing Square Inc., speaks during an interview during his company’s IPO on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), in New York City, U.S., April 29, 2026. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid
Bill Ackman, founder and CEO of Pershing Square Inc., speaks during an interview during his company’s IPO on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), in New York City, U.S., April 29, 2026. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid · Reuters / REUTERS

“We believe Microsoft’s recent share price decline has been principally driven by investor concerns around two key issues: i) the competitive positioning of M365 against increasingly capable AI lab offerings (notably Anthropic’s Claude Cowork), and ii) the durability of Azure’s growth, especially in light of Microsoft’s evolving relationship with OpenAI,” Ackman continued.

“In our view, investors underestimate the resilience of the M365 franchise given its deeply embedded role across enterprises and highly attractive price-value proposition. Unlike point software solutions, which may be vulnerable to disintermediation by better-performing AI alternatives, M365 is tightly integrated into the daily workflow of nearly every large enterprise and is supported by Microsoft’s identity, security, compliance, and data governance infrastructure, which would be nearly impossible to replicate. “

Microsoft odds and ends: Microsoft’s stock has dropped 17% this year versus a 10% gain for the S&P 500 (^GSPC), as its third quarter results underwhelmed and worries about artificial intelligence investment surfaced.

Microsoft said on its earnings call that it will spend $190 billion in capital expenditures for calendar year 2026 — up 61% from 2025. Consensus estimates were for $154.6 billion at the time, meaning Microsoft blew past Wall Street’s estimate by roughly $35 billion.

But with that “bad” news out of the way, Evercore ISI chief technical analyst Rich Ross wrote in a recent note that Microsoft has one of the “best acting charts” in the tech space right now, noting that the stock has reclaimed its 50-day moving average with “authority.”

He added that Microsoft can be “owned both fundamentally and technically,” given the recent pullback to a long-term support level that has held since the European financial crisis.

Bottom line: Microsoft stock hasn’t gotten a lot of love this year, clearly. But with the technical setup improving and concerns about the pace of Azure growth and capital expenditure plans well known, a positive shift in sentiment could emerge.

The Ackman purchase is a big vote of confidence in Microsoft by someone who has had success in investing in large-cap tech names, such as Alphabet (GOOGL).

“The Street continues to underestimate the Azure growth story in our view with an AI driven shift about taking place in Redmond heading into the back half of the fiscal year, making Microsoft one of our favorite large cap tech names to own over the coming years,” Wedbush tech analyst Dan Ives said in a note.

Brian Sozzi is Yahoo Finance’s Executive Editor and a member of Yahoo Finance’s editorial leadership team. Follow Sozzi on X @BrianSozzi, Instagram, and LinkedIn. Tips on stories? Email brian.sozzi@yahoofinance.com.

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