Why JPMorgan sees more big gains ahead for the S&P 500


JPMorgan strategists are apparently seeing something nobody else is: Companies making money from artificial intelligence and sending the stock market even higher as a result.

The call: JPMorgan strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas lifted his price target on the S&P 500 (^GSPC) to 8,000 from 7,800 on Monday.

He made two points on why he is making the call on the price target hike.

First, Lakos-Bujas said, “With 87% of S&P 500 companies having reported, the earnings picture remains strong and broad-based across multiple sectors.”

78% of companies are beating earnings estimates, and 73% are beating revenue estimates. Roughly 61% of companies have had double beats (i.e., beating sales and net income estimates), and only 10% of companies have had both revenue and earnings misses. Since the beginning of earnings season, earnings per share revisions have also increased.

Second, Lakos-Bujas said on AI, “Going into this season, we argued that the key theme would remain centered on hyperscaler capex guidance, with a sharper focus on evidence of monetization and return on invested capital. We have seen signs of this playing out during the second quarter, most clearly across Google, Amazon, and Microsoft, where stronger cloud growth, backlog expansion, and improved operating cash flow visibility cleared a high investor expectation bar.”

“Although free cash flow is expected to remain negative in FY27 for most hyperscalers, demand and order coverage are improving relative to capex, as evidenced by rising backlog-to-capex and book-to-bill ratios,” Lakos-Bujas added. “This suggests that monetization may start ramping faster than spending, which should support stronger future revenue growth and further alleviate concerns about return on invested capital.”

The bottom line: It has been a turbulent summer for the stock market. But the bottom line is that stocks are hitting record highs again because the latest earnings season is proving the bears wrong. Earnings are strong, and so have been third quarter outlooks.

“The weight of the evidence continues to support giving the bull market the benefit of the doubt, even as we experience more bumps along the way,” Truist chief markets strategist Keith Lerner said.

He’s right.

Brian Sozzi is Yahoo Finance’s Executive Editor, host of the ‘Power Players With Brian Sozzi’ podcast and a member of Yahoo Finance’s editorial leadership team. Follow Sozzi on X @BrianSozzi, Instagram, and LinkedIn. Tips on stories? Email brian.sozzi@yahoofinance.com.

Click here for in-depth analysis of the latest stock market news and events moving stock prices

Read the latest financial and business news from Yahoo Finance





Source link

  • Related Posts

    Canada is losing promising startups to foreign buyers: CCI

    “If acquisition by a foreign buyer is the best way up for a Canadian founder, then few of the benefits to those public dollars are staying in Canada, and Canadians…

    Send your questions for Keir Simmons

    A multinational maritime coalition was recently formed to secure international trade routes throughout the Middle East. As the group holds its first meeting in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, this week, NBC…

    Leave a Reply

    Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

    You Missed

    University of Michigan Will Ease Up on Grades for Student Mental Health

    University of Michigan Will Ease Up on Grades for Student Mental Health

    Carney wants to ‘catalyze’ investment by deploying capital from Parliament Hill

    Carney wants to ‘catalyze’ investment by deploying capital from Parliament Hill

    Canada is losing promising startups to foreign buyers: CCI

    U.S. oil venture in Greenland stirs unease amid Trump’s Arctic ambitions

    The Hundred Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Sunrisers Leeds Highlights

    The Hundred Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Sunrisers Leeds Highlights

    How To Fix Stick Drift On PS5 And Xbox Controllers

    How To Fix Stick Drift On PS5 And Xbox Controllers