You see tech and AI everywhere but in the productivity statistics


How many times have I heard versions of that claim?  Erik Brynjolfsson picks up the telephone in the FT:

While initial reports suggested a year of steady labour expansion in the US, the new figures reveal that total payroll growth was revised downward by approximately 403,000 jobs. Crucially, this downward revision occurred while real GDP remained robust, including a 3.7 per cent growth rate in the fourth quarter. This decoupling — maintaining high output with significantly lower labour input — is the hallmark of productivity growth.

My own updated analysis suggests a US productivity increase of roughly 2.7 per cent for 2025. This is a near doubling from the sluggish 1.4 per cent annual average that characterised the past decade.

It is fine to suggest caution in interpreting such statistics, but they hardly push the other way.




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