Troy vs. James Madison prediction, odds: 2025 Sun Belt Championship Game picks from proven model



The Troy Trojans will battle the James Madison Dukes in Friday’s Sun Belt Conference Championship Game. Troy is coming off a 28-18 win over Southern Mississippi, while James Madison downed Coastal Carolina 59-10 in games last Saturday. The Trojans (8-4, 6-2 Sun Belt West), who have won two in a row, are looking to earn their league-high ninth championship. The Dukes (11-1, 8-0 Sun Belt East), who have won 10 in a row, are looking for their first Sun Belt crown. James Madison head coach Bob Chesney has accepted the same job at UCLA, but will coach the Dukes in this matchup. Former Florida coach Billy Napier has agreed to become the next full-time coach for James Madison.

Kickoff from Bridgeforth Stadium in Harrisonburg, Va., is at 7 p.m. ET. After opening at -20.5, the Dukes are now 23.5-point favorites in the latest Troy vs. James Madison odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 46.5. Before making any Troy vs. James Madison picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model. 

New users can target the DraftKings promo code, which offers $200 in bonus bets if your $5+ bet wins:

The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times, and it is profitable on its top-rated money-line and over/under picks since the beginning of the 2024 season. Anybody following those college football betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Troy vs. James Madison. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the FBS college football odds and trends for James Madison vs. Troy:

Troy vs. James Madison spread

James Madison -23.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Troy vs. James Madison over/under

46.5 points

Troy vs. James Madison money line 

James Madison -3125, Troy +1288

Troy vs. James Madison picks

See picks at SportsLine

Troy vs. James Madison streaming 

Fubo (Try for free)  

New users can also check out the latest FanDuel promo code and get $150 in bonus bets at FanDuel if your $5 bet wins

How to make Troy vs. James Madison picks

SportsLine’s model has simulated Troy vs. JMU and is going Over on the total (47.5), projecting 55 combined points. The Dukes have gone over the total in five of their last six games. James Madison is 6-4 against the spread over the past 10 games, while Troy is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.

The model has Troy quarterback Tucker Kilcrease throwing for more than 210 yards and two touchdowns, while James Madison quarterback Alonza Barnett III finds the end zone three times, while throwing for more than 240 yards. The teams combine for 55 points as the Over clears in well over 60% of simulations.

SportsLine’s advanced model also says one side of the spread hits in more than 60% of simulations. You can see the model’s pick at SportsLine.  

So who wins JMU vs. Troy, and which side of the spread hits more than 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the James Madison vs. Troy spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that’s up on its top-ranked money-line and total picks, and find out.





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