Office sector poised for ‘year of rebound’ in 2026 as firms expand, end remote work


The drive to the office may not feel as swift as it did a couple years ago, nor is the train as comfortable, as you’re forced to lean against a stranger during your standing-room-only commute.

For some companies, work-from-home and hybrid models persist more than five years after the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, providing employees the flexibility they’ve become accustomed to.

But in other industries, employers are increasingly calling their staff back to the office. The shift has been a welcome development for Canada’s office real estate sector after years of rising vacancies.

Commercial real estate firms say the return-to-office trend seems poised to ramp up into the new year, with landlords pivoting to accommodate the evolving needs of renters and their employees.

There’s a growing desire among big firms to “have their people back in the office for a meaningful amount of time,” whether that means three or five days per week of in-person work, said Avison Young Canada president Mark Fieder.

“This is definitely translating into major take up or what we call absorption … of office space,” said Fieder.

“There’s such a flurry of activity at the moment that it’s like we’re scrambling to measure it.”

Avison Young’s latest Canadian office market report showed the total availability rate across the country was 18.7 per cent in the third quarter, down from 19.6 per cent in the same quarter last year.

Fieder said there’s another key factor at play in certain sectors where return-to-office mandates have become prevalent. He pointed to the big banks concentrated in downtown Toronto, which have expanded their head counts over the past five years.

With larger teams than before the rise of work-from-home, there’s been a scramble to find more space to fit everyone in the office, Fieder said.

“They never had seats for those people prior to the pandemic, so now they have to accommodate them,” he said.

“The demand for space is catching up.”

In Ontario, employment for office-using industries has grown around one-quarter since February 2020, according to Statistics Canada data. It’s a metric the commercial real estate firm is tracking closely, noting that 2025 has been the strongest year for office space absorption in Toronto since the start of the pandemic, and other large cities in Canada are showing similar trends.

Fieder added vacancy rates have declined most for the highest-quality inventory in major cities. As of the third quarter, the best 12 buildings in downtown Toronto had vacancy below two per cent, while the sublease market has seen a sharp contraction.



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