Reverse swing in ODIs: How a rule change has changed the game and what impact could it have?


Australia, New Zealand, West Indies, South Africa, Bangladesh, Pakistan and Afghanistan have all scored slower during the death overs since the rule change.

West Indies’ death run-rate has dropped by 2.39 runs per over in that time.

As for individual bowlers around the world, Windies quick Alzarri Joseph and South Africa’s Lungi Ngidi have benefited from massive jumps in the amount of swing they have been able to find at the death.

Joseph’s average amount of swing has increased by 84%, leading to his bowling average dropping from 24.1 to 17.4.

Similarly, Ngidi’s bowling average has dropped to 13 and his economy has fallen from 9.34 to six after a 63.3% increase in swing.

Others to see their movement jump include New Zealand’s Nathan Smith, Pakistan’s Naseem Shah and Bangladesh’s Mustafizur – each with varying results.

Shaheen Afridi, Pakistan’s captain in this tri-series, is one of the world’s best at finding swing at the death (an average of 1.3 degrees since the rule change), although he was swinging it plenty before the change too (1.2).

Shaheen and Naseem in tandem against England on Tuesday could be a fascinating sight.

Jofra Archer is the England bowler finding the most movement late on, with an average degree of 0.97 – an increase of 37%.



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