Cathie from Canada: Waiting for the game: Watching “The Sweater” and gathering a batch of news updates


While we wait for the game on Thursday night, enjoy my favourite NFB video in all time,

 The Sweater, plus a batch of news updates.

The maybe pipeline

PM Carney: “The pipeline will only be advanced with the following prerequisites being met. The first is the building of pathways … Secondly it requires that British Columbians should share substantial economic and financial benefits. And thirdly requires fully respecting Canada’s duty to consult.”

– Scott Robertson

Read on Substack

Following up on yesterday’s post about whether British Columbia deserves to feel aggrieved over Carney’s dealings with Alberta, I decided to compare what was being reported in the BC newspapers on Wednesday, with the reporting in the Globe and Mail and in Alberta papers: 

Prime Minister Mark Carney came to Vancouver on Wednesday to begin negotiations with Premier David Eby on B.C.’s priorities for his nation-building agenda, although their agreement to do so did not resolve the premier’s opposition to the idea of a new bitumen pipeline from Alberta to B.C.’s north coast.
Before meeting with Carney at his government’s Vancouver cabinet offices, Eby noted the federal moratorium on oil tanker traffic off the north coast remains a “crucially important” condition for First Nations and many British Columbians….

 Vancouver Province

Prime Minister Mark Carney said there is momentum behind his nation-building agenda after receiving criticism from British Columbia Premier David Eby over the possible construction of a pipeline to his province’s coast.
“What we’re trying to accomplish, and I think we’re really getting momentum now across the country, is we don’t want to hear what people are against, we want to hear what they’re for,” said Carney, during a Q&A in front of the Greater Vancouver Board of Trade on Wednesday.
…During his speech, Carney said any potential pipeline will have to give substantial financial and economic benefits for British Columbia and must fully respect duty to consult under Section 35 of the constitution.
….Carney also highlighted the role the West Coast province will play in his government’s economic agenda, including in critical minerals, electricity, artificial intelligence and liquefied natural gas.
“When we master energy, we master our destiny,” he told the business audience….

Globe and Mail

As Prime Minister Mark Carney heads into negotiations with B.C. Premier David Eby over the province’s economic priorities, he cautioned that debate over a contentious new pipeline cannot go on indefinitely.
The two leaders held a closed-door meeting in Vancouver on Wednesday, shortly after the Prime Minister spoke at a breakfast for business leaders, where he touted his government’s plans to expand critical minerals mining and liquid natural gas projects in B.C.
The Prime Minister also discussed the proposed new pipeline from Alberta’s oil sands to B.C.’s North Coast, which has rankled environmentalists and some Indigenous leaders. An agreement signed last week between Ottawa and Alberta would see construction of the project begin as early as next year, despite there being no agreed route and no private proponent.
While Ottawa will “adjust to what people want,” on the pipeline and other projects, Mr. Carney said his government doesn’t “want to hear what people are against, we want to hear what they’re for.”
“If things get stalled [in B.C.], we’re going to be spending more time elsewhere in the country because we need to move forward,” Mr. Carney said….

The Edmonton Journal doesn’t mention the Eby-Carney meeting at all.
Neither do the Calgary papers. 

But interestingly enough, the Calgary Herald has a useful column by energy journalist Steven Wilhelm on what bitumen pipelines actually look like, and how they get constructed:

…The Financial Post, in partnership with the Calgary Herald, sought to answer some of those rarely considered questions about oil pipelines that may not normally make headlines. How do they actually work? Why do they move so slowly? And how do they get around mountains?…

That one is pretty good reading, actually.

The maybe war
In his midweek Iran update, Phillips O’Brien writes:

…I suppose it is a good thing that Trump has not lost all sense. The problem is, that his desire to restart military action and then his last minute backing off shows a few things that are very worrying for the USA. I would list them as:
-The US Government does now understand that the blockade will take much longer to work than Trump originally claimed. As far as I know, no Iranian oil wells have exploded because of the blockade. Yes, the Iranian government will undoubtedly be faced by an economic problem, but that is not going to have them immediately bend the knee and Trump seems to get that.
-The US Government seems to understand that restarting bombing will stand only a very small chance of achieving any of Trump’s strategic aims—especially his big one which is to get a concession on the nuclear question enough to say he got a better deal than Obama under the JCPOA. If Trump believed that there would be any reasonable chance to achieve anything by bombing, he would take that risk. Clearly the odds are judged to be not high.
-The markets no longer react to the President’s claims of possible success. For once the oil markets took Trump’s claims for the BS that they are. The price of oil … had a tiny fall on May 18 when Trump tweeted, but immediately rose back to the level it was before he spoke. The fall did not last long enough for insider traders to cash in.
There we have it. Trump threatened military action, blinked again, and we are exactly where we have been for 7 weeks, with now the administration’s ability to impact the markets having eroded. While the Iranian government is probably suffering economically, the Iranian military has had more time to regroup and reorganize, which means it could do more damage if the US eventually restarts action.
It is a mess.

The actual war
Here’s an interesting addition to my post yesterday on the Ukraine War

Something shifted in the war in Ukraine, and most people missed it with so many other stories battling for readers attention.

Ukraine has no coastline on the Caspian Sea. It has no fleet there. It has no obvious way in. And yet, just this month, Ukrainian drones struck five Russian vessels near Kaspiysk, the main base of Russia’s Caspian Flotilla.  That was supposed to be Russia’s safe zone. Turns out, there is no safe zone anymore.

Footage released this week shows a Ukrainian FP-1 drone hunting down and hitting a Russian patrol boat in port, more than 1,500 kilometres from Ukraine’s borders.  The ship was actively trying to shoot the drone down. It didn’t work.

Writer Shankar Narayan breaks down exactly why this matters. Ukraine is hitting three things at once: Russia’s Kalibr cruise missile capability (those are the missiles that have been raining down on Ukrainian cities since 2022), Russia’s confidence that its rear is protected, and now Caspian energy infrastructure, including three Lukoil offshore platforms struck this month. 

The question Narayan leaves you with is a simple one. If Ukrainian drones can reach all the way to the Caspian, crossing layer after layer of Russian radar and air defence to get there, what part of Russia’s map is actually safe?

Prime Minister Carney said it plainly at a news conference in Saint-Michel-des-Saints yesterday:

“Ukraine is going to triumph and we’re going to be on the right side of history for that.”

This piece is the battlefield evidence behind exactly that kind of confidence.

– Leni Spooner

Read on Substack

Inept Alberta separatism 

If they can’t even get a press release sent out properly, how do they ever think they can run their own country?

The United Conservative Party put out a statement claiming a special committee had voted to recommend a referendum question for this October, offering Albertans a choice on whether to remain in Canada.

But the release went out while the committee was still meeting and hadn’t actually finalized anything.

– Scott Robertson

Read on Substack

And this is horrible

On Victoria Day, the CBC reported this story about 12 brave Canadians among dozens of other activists challenging Israel’s blockade of Gaza:

Israel’s navy intercepted an activist flotilla in waters off Cyprus on Monday, halting the group’s latest effort to challenge a blockade of Gaza.
More than 50 vessels departed from the port in Marmaris, Turkey, last week in what the organizers of the Global Sumud Flotilla described as the final leg of their planned journey to Gaza’s shores to draw attention to the grim conditions for Palestinians living in the war-battered territory.
The organization’s livestream showed activists, including 12 Canadians, aboard several vessels putting on life-jackets and raising their hands before a boat carrying Israeli troops approached. Wearing tactical gear, the troops boarded the ship, and the livestream abruptly ended. Many of the ships are currently off the coast of Cyprus.
Other footage showed Israeli forces on speedboats approaching and instructing the activists to move to the front of the boat. At least 17 boats were intercepted in the first three hours of the operation, according to Global Sumud Flotilla’s tracker.
The flotilla interceptions occurred outside Cypriot territorial waters. Israeli authorities had not asked for any assistance in the interception, according to a Cypriot official, who spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak publicly on the matter. Israel notified Cyprus that all people aboard the intercepted flotilla boats are in good health, the official said….

Yeah. 

Then today, the world saw this:

There’s a gag limit and all of Canada has reached it now:

Foreign Minister Anita Anand says Canada will summon the Israeli ambassador regarding the mistreatment of civilians aboard the Gaza flotilla

– Scott Robertson

Read on Substack

Canada is in good company:

Governments across Europe and the Middle East are increasingly condemning Israel after its forces attacked the Global Sumud Flotilla in international waters and abducted hundreds of activists attempting to break the siege on Gaza.

Canada, Ireland, France, Italy, Austria, Qatar, the United Kingdom, Belgium ,the Netherlands, Turkey, Spain, and Portugal all criticized Israel’s attack while several European countries summoned Israeli ambassadors demanding explanations over the detention and mistreatment of international activists.

The backlash intensified after Israeli National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir published footage appearing to show Gaza flotilla activists being humiliated and abused in Israeli custody, further exposing Israel’s piracy, violations of international law, and abuse against humanitarian volunteers trying to deliver aid to Palestinians under siege in Gaza.

– Aisha

Read on Substack



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