OTTAWA — Nunavut MP Lori Idlout crossing the floor from the NDP to the Liberals puts the government at 170 seats, with three byelections set for April 13 that are poised to be the deciding factor.

The two Toronto-area byelections were triggered by the resignations of former cabinet minister Chrystia Freeland and Bill Blair — both seen as safe for the Liberals.

The Montreal-area riding of Terrebonne was won by the Liberals in last year’s election by a single vote, but the Supreme Court annulled the result last month.

The Liberals would have a 172-seat majority even if they only win two of the three contests, but would still likely rely on opposition support to pass legislation.

Speaker Francis Scarpaleggia, a Quebec Liberal, only votes in the event of a tie, and traditionally, the speaker opts to maintain the status quo as an impartial figure.

That means historically, the speaker will not vote to pass new legislation but would side with the government on confidence votes.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published March 11, 2026.

David Baxter, The Canadian Press