How much is childlessness the fertility problem?


The average decline in fertility among these recent cohorts relative to the cohorts preceding them by 20 years was 0.25 births. Of this decline, 0.09 births, or 37 percent of the gap, is statistically accounted for by increased childlessness in the later cohort. The remaining 0.16 births, or 63 percent of the gap, is accounted for by declines in fertility among the parous.

A similar analysis can be used to decompose differences across districts in India, where the difference to be decomposed is across districts for women born in the same set of years, with two groups of districts defined by having the lowest and highest cohort fertility rates. Unsurprisingly, given panel B of Figure 5, almost all of this difference—94 percent—is accounted for by the difference in fertility among the parous. Differing patterns of childlessness account for only 6 percent of the gap between high-fertility and low-fertility districts.

That is from a new and useful JEP survey article by Michael Geruso and Dean Spears.  The main concern of the authors is whether we can ever expect a fertility rebound.




Source link

  • Related Posts

    Canoe EIT Income Fund Announces February 2026 Monthly Distribution, Quarterly Preferred Distributions and Amendment to Special Distribution

    CALGARY, Alberta, Feb. 06, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Canoe EIT Income Fund (the “Fund”) (TSX – EIT.UN) announces the February 2026 monthly distribution of $0.10 per unit. Additionally, the Fund…

    An inside look at the Winter Olympics opening ceremony rehearsals

    IE 11 is not supported. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. American street photographer captures fashion of Milan 02:08 The history and statistics of which countries…

    Leave a Reply

    Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

    You Missed

    Oh hey i cant post much about it without doxing…

    Taylor Swift casts ‘insanely charismatic and lovable’ Graham Norton in music video | Taylor Swift

    Taylor Swift casts ‘insanely charismatic and lovable’ Graham Norton in music video | Taylor Swift

    Prediction markets soar ahead of 2026 Super Bowl

    Prediction markets soar ahead of 2026 Super Bowl

    How Airlines Add Thousands Of Seats For The Super Bowl While Still Maintaining Their Schedules

    How Airlines Add Thousands Of Seats For The Super Bowl While Still Maintaining Their Schedules

    Canoe EIT Income Fund Announces February 2026 Monthly Distribution, Quarterly Preferred Distributions and Amendment to Special Distribution

    Apple might let you use ChatGPT from CarPlay

    Apple might let you use ChatGPT from CarPlay