It’s an AFC East matchup in Miami in Week 10 as the Dolphins welcome the Buffalo Bills to town for a showdown on Paramount+. The Bills (6-2) are riding high after beating the rival Kansas City Chiefs, while the Dolphins (2-7) are coming off a home blowout loss to the Baltimore Ravens. Buffalo is once again gunning for a berth in the Super Bowl, while Miami has a difficult offseason ahead of it. 

Kickoff from Hard Rock Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET on CBS and Paramount+. The Bills are 9.5-point favorites in the latest Bills vs. Dolphins consensus odds at SportsLine and the total comes in at 50. Buffalo is a -546 money line favorite while Miami is a +406 home underdog. Before making any Bills vs. Dolphins picks, make sure you check out the NFL picks from the SportsLine Projection Model. Be sure to watch this game on CBS and Paramount+, where new users can get a free one-week trial. Sign up here.

Click here to bet Bills vs. Dolphins at BetMGM Sportsbook, where new users get either $150 in bonus bets if your first bet wins or up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first bet loses:

Where to bet on Bills vs. Dolphins

Where to watch Bills vs. Dolphins on Sunday

When: Sunday, Nov. 9
Time: 1 p.m. ET
TV: CBS
Stream: Paramount+
Follow along: CBS Sports App

Bills vs. Dolphins betting preview

Odds: Bills -9.5, over/under 50

The Bills are simply in a different weight class here, but will Miami roll over and show its belly again? Mike McDaniel will want more from his offense after the Dolphins managed a mere six points against the newly healthy Baltimore defense. Tua Tagovailoa is a much better player at home (last week’s dud notwithstanding). That being said, momentum and motivation are both on Buffalo’s side here, as the Bills need this win to keep pace with the surging New England Patriots atop the division, and Miami is just playing out the string at this point.

Click here to bet Bills vs. Dolphins at FanDuel Sportsbook, where new users get $150 in bonus bets if their first bet of at least $5 wins:

Bills vs. Dolphins SGP

• Bills -9.5 (-112)
• Dalton Kincaid anytime touchdown scorer (+200)
• De’Von Achane Over 65.5 rushing yards (-111)

Final odds: +1100 at DraftKings (wager $100 to win $1100)

Model’s Bills vs. Dolphins score prediction, picks

The SportsLine Projection Model likes the Bills here. Buffalo covers in 54% of its simulations and Buffalo wins outright in 73%, although the Dolphins provide more betting value as such heavy underdogs. The Over hits in 63% of the simulations — given the model has the total at an even 50, that includes pushes. DraftKings offers the number at 50.5, which the model’s projected score still clears.

Bills vs. Dolphins score prediction: Bills 35, Dolphins 23

Want more Week 10 NFL picks?

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