📈 Business over pundits – iPolitics


Welcome to Economic Insights, a twice-weekly newsletter focusing on major projects and the Canadian economy at large.

Stories we are following:

  • Natural Resources Minister TIM HODGSON is dismissing “pundits” who question the long-term viability of Canadian Liquified Natural Gas (LNG), arguing that conversations with potential clients are a better indicator of demand.
  • The SISSON MINE project in New Brunswick is eyeing a 2027 final investment decision, according to the latest federal MAJOR PROJECTS OFFICE update.
Minister of Energy and Natural Resources Tim Hodgson arrives for a meeting of the federal cabinet in West Block on Parliament Hill in Ottawa on Wednesday, May 14, 2025. (Justin Tang/The Canadian Press)

Bullish on LNG 
Natural Resources Minister TIM HODGSON defended the economics of LNG projects during a House committee appearance last week. Facing questions about uncertain future demand and prices, HODGSON was blunt: “I love pundits, who have no skin in the game… I look at [customers] as a more valuable signal.”

  • The AI factor: Countries around the world are anticipating a dramatic increase in electricity demand linked to power-hungry data centres, with many viewing natural gas as a bridge between coal and renewables.
  • Nothing inked: CANADA‘s recent trips to INDIA and CHINA resulted only in “joint statements” to deepen trade rather than firm contracts.  The government is betting on these markets to absorb Canadian supply.
  • Climate counterpoint: Critics, including many climate scientists, warn that locking in capital-intensive LNG infrastructure could delay the shift to truly non-emitting power sources.
  • In the works: While LNG CANADA is shipping cargo, others like KSI LISIMS and CEDAR LNG are still awaiting final investment decisions, now expected within the year.

New Brunswick Premier Susan Holt speaks with reporters before the First Ministers Meeting in Ottawa, Thursday, Jan. 29, 2026. (Adrian Wyld/The Canadian Press)
New timeline
Despite low global prices driven by Chinese dominance, there is movement at the long-delayed SISSON MINE. A recent update from the MAJOR PROJECTS OFFICE suggests there could be a final investment decision next year, with a beginning of operations in 2030.

  • Critical: CANADA is moving to designate minerals like tungsten as national security priorities.
  • Price floors: To protect against cyclical price crashes, the G7 is in talks to set up a “buyers club” that could guarantee price floors for strategic projects. 
  • Need help: The company behind SISSON previously said it will need support for the project to come online.

By the numbers
7: The total number of LNG export projects currently in various stages of development across Canada.

3.1 Bcm/year: The capacity of ENBRIDGE‘s new natural gas pipeline project, Westcoast Energy’s Sunrise Expansion, recently recommended by the CANADA ENERGY REGULATOR to bolster domestic supply and export potential.

14 Million kg: The projected annual production of uranium concentrate from the ROOK I PROJECT in SASKATCHEWAN. The project is estimated to provide $288.5 million in annual direct payments to the provincial government.

Major projects watch

— Nuclear milestone: CNSC wrapped up the second part of its public hearings for NEXGEN ENERGY‘s ROOK I uranium project in Saskatchewan. If approved, it would become one of the largest new uranium mines in the world.

— Pipeline pushback: Enbridge CEO GREG EBEL tells analysts on an earning calls that the company has no intention of being a proponent for Alberta’s proposed northwest bitumen pipeline.

“I don’t think investors or the infrastructure companies should be taking on the risk of development in jurisdictions that have historically created a challenge,” he said. “…that’s not the type of risk that we’re looking to take on at this time. We don’t need to with all the other opportunities.”

— AI unicorn: Toronto-based AI startup COHERE reportedly surpassed $240 million in annual recurring revenue for 2025, beating its targets by 20%. The growth has sparked intense speculation about a potential 2026 IPO.

— Logging u-turn: The REGIONAL DISTRICT OF NANAIMO has pulled its motion to ban raw log exports. The board rescinded the decision after local manufacturers warned that a total ban would trigger widespread mill closures and put contractors out of business.

— New referral: A new $5B project by KINROSS GOLD CORP. has been referred to ONTARIO’s ‘One Project, One Process’ framework, the first non-critical mineral to make the cut in a government fast-tracking initiative.

Headlines

The Kicker

iPolitics will be at the Prospectors and Developers Association of Canada (PDAC) convention on March 2nd and 3rd.

Book a chat with reporter Aya Dufour.

Have a great day!



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